TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095428
Played Sep 8Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811811––––
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.85
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:59 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1113811811––––
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 1–1 Szymon Radlo Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (68%)
Ovcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1731 vs Radlo 1581
Ovcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 60% vs Radlo 0%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 70% vs Radlo 50%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko -1 · Radlo -5
Radlo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (0%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.33 / Radlo 2.85
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13095428
Ovcharenko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 29 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Radlo2.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 182 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOvcharenko1wins
AwayRadlo1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoRadloO − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.035.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 167 vs 362 / 71662.3%50.6%104 / 167 vs 362 / 716Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.33/Radlo 2.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 4 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko—11116113S. Radlo—671151
LSep 3 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko—1091191S. Radlo—12117113
M. Ovcharenko10
WSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113WSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113LSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182WSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113WSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113WSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341
S. Radlo10
LSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552LSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101148101M. Lysakowski1.6091111123LSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo2.419570M. Stepien1.461111113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo2.75671151M. Ovcharenko1.3911116113
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