TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097239
Played Sep 8Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141161151315115
Szymon Radlo
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:33 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
12141161151315115
H2H Dawid Stapor 31–29 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 29 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Radlo
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-29 in 60
Stapor
Correct
gap of 2 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1531 vs Radlo 1575
Radlo
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Radlo 20%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 30% vs Radlo 50%
Radlo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +2 · Radlo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Radlo) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.85 / Radlo 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Radlo)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13097239
Stapor1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Radlo1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor4wins
AwayRadlo6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor33.3%1 of 3
AwayRadlo57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor3Radlo7n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S2Stapor6Radlo4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S3Stapor3Radlo7n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S4Stapor3Radlo6n = 9Radlo took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporRadloS − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.2−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 913 vs 363 / 71853%50.6%484 / 913 vs 363 / 718Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RadloStapor 1.85/Radlo 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor—12111113113S. Radlo—14651552
LSep 5 · 10:05D. Stapor—1510871S. Radlo—131211113
WAug 28 · 05:00D. Stapor—911713133S. Radlo—1171111112
LAug 27 · 09:00D. Stapor—1196121S. Radlo—81111143
LAug 23 · 20:05D. Stapor—1281181S. Radlo—14117113
LAug 21 · 13:00D. Stapor—9111181S. Radlo—11413113
WAug 21 · 08:00D. Stapor—11157113S. Radlo—9131191
WAug 18 · 11:00D. Stapor—91411113S. Radlo—1112771
LJul 31 · 07:30D. Stapor—91090S. Radlo—1112113
LJul 30 · 09:00D. Stapor—911671S. Radlo—11711113
D. Stapor10
WSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171LSep 5 · 11:35S. Wloszek1.9511713113D. Stapor1.779111191
S. Radlo10
WSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113LSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101148101M. Lysakowski1.6091111123LSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo2.419570M. Stepien1.461111113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.