TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13090693
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511711––––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
911511711––––
H2H Szymon Radlo 35–41 Marcin Stepien Szymon Radlo has won 35 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:17What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Stepien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-41 in 76
Stepien
Correct
gap of 6 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1638 vs Stepien 1670
Stepien
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 80% vs Stepien 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 60% vs Stepien 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -1 · Stepien +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Stepien) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.41 / Stepien 1.46
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Stepien)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13090693
Radlo2.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 184 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back25% 40 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Stepien1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 202 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it94% 140 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it81% 164 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo6wins
AwayStepien4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo71.4%5 of 7
AwayStepien66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo7Stepien3n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S2Radlo3Stepien7n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S3Radlo4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S4Radlo4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S5Radlo4Stepien0n = 4Radlo took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloStepienR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.944.7−1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 712 vs 650 / 118050.8%55.1%362 / 712 vs 650 / 1180Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienRadlo 2.41/Stepien 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 05:00S. Radlo—11911123M. Stepien—9116101
WAug 31 · 13:00S. Radlo—1111129133M. Stepien—781411112
WAug 31 · 07:30S. Radlo—11148113M. Stepien—8121141
WAug 30 · 23:15S. Radlo—1110119113M. Stepien—91281192
LAug 30 · 18:05S. Radlo—144771M. Stepien—121111113
WAug 27 · 13:40S. Radlo—1113215153M. Stepien—8151113132
LAug 27 · 05:00S. Radlo—911581M. Stepien—11911113
LAug 25 · 13:40S. Radlo—951171M. Stepien—11118113
WAug 25 · 06:00S. Radlo—1061111113M. Stepien—12118972
LAug 24 · 09:30S. Radlo—118851M. Stepien—81111113
S. Radlo10
LSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101148101M. Lysakowski1.6091111123LSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133WSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290WSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo2.00131211113D. Stapor1.711510871LSep 5 · 08:35S. Radlo1.90129681B. Molka1.76101111113WSep 5 · 06:35S. Radlo1.671411113S. Wloszek2.0012990LSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113
M. Stepien10
WSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330WSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102LSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113WSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181WSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113
Upcoming Matches
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