TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095547
Played Sep 8Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115911118––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:29 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
118115911118––
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 11–15 Bartlomiej Molka Mateusz Burkacki has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Molka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Molka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1493 vs Molka 1595
Molka
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 20% vs Molka 60%
Molka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 30% vs Molka 70%
Molka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki +1 · Molka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Molka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.50 / Molka 1.47
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Molka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13095547
Burkacki2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 50 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Molka1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 63 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki4wins
AwayMolka6wins
Molka leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki66.7%4 of 6
AwayMolka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki6Molka4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S2Burkacki5Molka5n = 10split evenly
S3Burkacki3Molka7n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S4Burkacki1Molka3n = 4Molka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiMolkaB − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.333.0−1.7per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 215 vs 536 / 117040%45.8%86 / 215 vs 536 / 1170Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaBurkacki 2.50/Molka 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.2%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki—11119113B. Molka—851181
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Burkacki—91110111B. Molka—11812133
LSep 2 · 09:30M. Burkacki—71070B. Molka—1112113
WJul 7 · 13:10M. Burkacki—1111113B. Molka—6970
LJul 7 · 05:00M. Burkacki—1212671B. Molka—101411113
LJul 6 · 05:30M. Burkacki—5640B. Molka—1111113
WJul 3 · 05:30M. Burkacki—1111113B. Molka—8780
LJul 2 · 09:00M. Burkacki—11101021B. Molka—61212113
LJun 29 · 13:00M. Burkacki—8680B. Molka—1111113
WJun 29 · 05:30M. Burkacki—1111113B. Molka—9940
M. Burkacki10
WSep 9 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.39812100M. Burkacki2.801114123WSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191LSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162LSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350WSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102LSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121
B. Molka10
LSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka—8870S. Wloszek—1111113LSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113LSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182WSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka1.57101111113S. Wloszek2.15128971WSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123WSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113
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