TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097439
Played Sep 8Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511311112911––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
511311112911––
H2H Dawid Stapor 45–27 Bartlomiej Molka Bartlomiej Molka has won 27 of their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:00What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-27 in 72
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 18 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1531 vs Molka 1643
Molka
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Molka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Molka 70%
Molka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +3 · Molka +1
Stapor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.83 / Molka 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13097439
Stapor1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 174 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Molka1.86
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 182 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back21% 47 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwayMolka5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor100%3 of 3
AwayMolka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor3Molka7n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S2Stapor5Molka5n = 10split evenly
S3Stapor6Molka4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor4Molka3n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporMolkaS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.336.8−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 913 vs 536 / 117253%45.7%484 / 913 vs 536 / 1172Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaStapor 1.83/Molka 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor—51050B. Molka—1112113
LSep 5 · 12:35D. Stapor—9121171B. Molka—11147113
WSep 2 · 13:10D. Stapor—1113113B. Molka—81190
WSep 2 · 11:00D. Stapor—81512113B. Molka—11131081
LAug 28 · 10:30D. Stapor—13113111B. Molka—15611133
WAug 23 · 23:35D. Stapor—71111113B. Molka—117971
LAug 23 · 22:05D. Stapor—671151B. Molka—11119113
WAug 21 · 06:30D. Stapor—111112113B. Molka—591491
LAug 19 · 08:30D. Stapor—6960B. Molka—1111113
WJul 31 · 11:30D. Stapor—11711113B. Molka—711481
D. Stapor10
WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552WSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113LSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien1.501111113D. Stapor2.406570LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113LSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171
B. Molka10
WSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka1.57101111113S. Wloszek2.15128971LSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123WSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171
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