TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097438
Played Sep 8Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111214––––
Szymon Radlo
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Burkacki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
9117111214––––
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 17–20 Szymon Radlo Mateusz Burkacki has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:00What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Radlo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-20 in 37
Radlo
Correct
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1462 vs Radlo 1575
Radlo
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 40% vs Radlo 20%
Burkacki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 20% vs Radlo 40%
Radlo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -1 · Radlo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Radlo) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.25 / Radlo 1.54
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Radlo)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13097438
Burkacki2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Radlo1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 108 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it74% 89 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki5wins
AwayRadlo5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkackin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRadlo62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki2Radlo8n = 10Radlo took 8 of 10
S2Burkacki7Radlo3n = 10Burkacki took 7 of 10
S3Burkacki5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S4Burkacki5Radlo1n = 6Burkacki took 5 of 6
S5Burkacki1Radlo2n = 3Radlo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiRadloB − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.040.0+1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 210 vs 363 / 71839.5%50.6%83 / 210 vs 363 / 718Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RadloBurkacki 2.25/Radlo 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 12:40M. Burkacki—1711113S. Radlo—15490
LSep 7 · 05:00M. Burkacki—7970S. Radlo—1111113
WSep 4 · 09:30M. Burkacki—1111113S. Radlo—9990
LSep 3 · 06:30M. Burkacki—915911102S. Radlo—1113117123
LJul 8 · 05:30M. Burkacki—8101181S. Radlo—11128113
WJul 7 · 08:00M. Burkacki—1011711173S. Radlo—128119152
LJul 6 · 09:00M. Burkacki—85110S. Radlo—1111133
WJul 5 · 20:35M. Burkacki—111113113S. Radlo—1361151
LJul 3 · 10:00M. Burkacki—91181192S. Radlo—118119113
WJul 2 · 11:30M. Burkacki—91111193S. Radlo—1185171
M. Burkacki10
LSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350WSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102LSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121LSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113
S. Radlo10
WSep 8 · 10:30S. Radlo1.53141011133S. Wloszek2.2312129111LSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552WSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113LSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101148101M. Lysakowski1.6091111123LSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo2.419570M. Stepien1.461111113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113WSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970WSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113
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