TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091871
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11811541111131210
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
11811541111131210
H2H Michal Lysakowski 15–8 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Lysakowski
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1660 vs Burkacki 1447
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 80% vs Burkacki 0%
Lysakowski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 60% vs Burkacki 20%
Lysakowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +1 · Burkacki -5
Burkacki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.36 / Burkacki 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Lysakowski)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13091871
Lysakowski1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 187 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it90% 119 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it74% 160 of 217
Burkacki2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayBurkacki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski7Burkacki3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Lysakowski3Burkacki7n = 10Burkacki took 7 of 10
S3Lysakowski4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S4Lysakowski6Burkacki4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S5Lysakowski3Burkacki1n = 4Lysakowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiBurkackiL − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.841.0+0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime644 / 1320 vs 81 / 20548.8%39.5%644 / 1320 vs 81 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.36/Burkacki 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 06:00M. Lysakowski—115911113M. Burkacki—41111872
WSep 3 · 12:40M. Lysakowski—11412133M. Burkacki—51110111
WSep 3 · 05:00M. Lysakowski—11117113M. Burkacki—681151
WJul 8 · 10:00M. Lysakowski—1061211113M. Burkacki—121110582
WJul 7 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—11811113M. Burkacki—611891
WJul 6 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—115711123M. Burkacki—911119102
LJul 3 · 07:30M. Lysakowski—1116571M. Burkacki—61811113
LJun 29 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—11119992M. Burkacki—391111113
LJun 28 · 21:35M. Lysakowski—571191M. Burkacki—11119113
LJun 26 · 06:30M. Lysakowski—811871M. Burkacki—11611113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101148101M. Lysakowski1.6091111123LSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113WSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192WSep 4 · 07:00M. Lysakowski2.101113113M. Stepien1.6581180WSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113
M. Burkacki10
WSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121LSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111LSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 05:00S. Radlo1.441111113M. Burkacki2.507970LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.307440M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 4 · 09:30S. Radlo1.489990M. Burkacki2.361111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142LSep 4 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.2941111872M. Lysakowski1.51115911113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lysakowski
M. Burkacki
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.