TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103053
Played Sep 9Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
1.56
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121210119811115
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.18
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
10121210119811115
H2H Pawel Gola 9–9 Mateusz Burkacki Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Gola
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1562 vs Burkacki 1487
Gola
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 40% vs Burkacki 60%
Burkacki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 50% vs Burkacki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -2 · Burkacki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gola)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 1.56 / Burkacki 2.18
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Gola)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13103053
Gola1.56
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 160 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it99% 86 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it85% 117 of 137
Burkacki2.18
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 50 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola5wins
AwayBurkacki5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola80%4 of 5
AwayBurkacki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S2Gola6Burkacki4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S3Gola2Burkacki8n = 10Burkacki took 8 of 10
S4Gola4Burkacki2n = 6Gola took 4 of 6
S5Gola2Burkacki2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaBurkackiG − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.6−1.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime579 / 1183 vs 86 / 21648.9%39.8%579 / 1183 vs 86 / 216Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaGola 1.56/Burkacki 2.18
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 08:30P. Gola—178611142M. Burkacki—1511118163
WSep 2 · 06:00P. Gola—111111113M. Burkacki—461351
WJul 8 · 11:00P. Gola—11117113M. Burkacki—781181
LJul 5 · 21:35P. Gola—8670M. Burkacki—1111113
LJul 3 · 09:00P. Gola—4570M. Burkacki—1111113
LJul 1 · 13:10P. Gola—101251172M. Burkacki—1210119113
WJul 1 · 08:00P. Gola—1111113M. Burkacki—6790
LJun 23 · 12:00P. Gola—46110M. Burkacki—1111133
WJun 19 · 06:00P. Gola—111176113M. Burkacki—92111142
WJun 18 · 06:30P. Gola—314116113M. Burkacki—111281182
P. Gola10
LSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola2.001161181D. Stapor1.7291113113LSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113LSep 4 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.31711118113P. Gola3.0011681132WSep 2 · 13:40P. Gola1.421111113S. Wloszek2.704460WSep 2 · 12:00P. Gola1.48118117113S. Wloszek2.3661171132
M. Burkacki10
LSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.39812100M. Burkacki2.801114123WSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191LSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162LSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350LSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142
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