TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102687
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711119711511
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:46 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
119711119711511
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 0–2 Dmytro Skvarskyi Mateusz Burkacki has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1493 vs Skvarskyi 1670
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 60% vs Skvarskyi 80%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 50% vs Skvarskyi 70%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki +2 · Skvarskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.50 / Skvarskyi 1.47
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13102687
Burkacki2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 50 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Skvarskyi1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBurkacki0wins
AwaySkvarskyi2wins
Skvarskyi leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBurkackiSkvarskyiB − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiSkvarskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 215 vs 133 / 19840%67.2%86 / 215 vs 133 / 198Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiBurkacki 2.50/Skvarskyi 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.8%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 7 · 10:30M. Burkacki—1184121D. Skvarskyi—31111143
LSep 3 · 08:00M. Burkacki—1081141D. Skvarskyi—12119113
M. Burkacki10
WSep 9 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.39812100M. Burkacki2.801114123WSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191LSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162LSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350WSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123LSep 9 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.761411113D. Skvarskyi1.9012460WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121WSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133
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