TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101259
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.76
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412114116––––
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1412114116––––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 10–9 Dmytro Skvarskyi Dmytro Skvarskyi has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1654 vs Skvarskyi 1676
Skvarskyi
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 60% vs Skvarskyi 100%
Skvarskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 50% vs Skvarskyi 70%
Skvarskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski -1 · Skvarskyi +5
Skvarskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.76 / Skvarskyi 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lysakowski)+2.1pp
TT Cup · #13101259
Lysakowski1.76
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 188 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it91% 120 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it75% 160 of 214
Skvarskyi1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 6 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwaySkvarskyi4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski60%3 of 5
AwaySkvarskyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski5Skvarskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysakowski8Skvarskyi2n = 10Lysakowski took 8 of 10
S3Lysakowski3Skvarskyi7n = 10Skvarskyi took 7 of 10
S4Lysakowski7Skvarskyi3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S5Lysakowski2Skvarskyi3n = 5Skvarskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiSkvarskyiL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.441.4+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiSkvarskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1310 vs 132 / 19648.7%67.4%638 / 1310 vs 132 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.76/Skvarskyi 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 13:40M. Lysakowski—613121232D. Skvarskyi—11111410113
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski—13491132D. Skvarskyi—1111116113
WSep 3 · 06:00M. Lysakowski—11118113D. Skvarskyi—341121
WSep 1 · 08:30M. Lysakowski—119711123D. Skvarskyi—711117102
WJul 17 · 09:00M. Lysakowski—71111113D. Skvarskyi—115931
LApr 13 · 13:40M. Lysakowski—511661D. Skvarskyi—11711113
WApr 13 · 11:00M. Lysakowski—61411143D. Skvarskyi—11129121
WApr 12 · 22:05M. Lysakowski—412118113D. Skvarskyi—111061192
WApr 10 · 08:30M. Lysakowski—11128113D. Skvarskyi—6101171
LApr 7 · 05:00M. Lysakowski—111112752D. Skvarskyi—661411113
M. Lysakowski10
LSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102WSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101148101M. Lysakowski1.6091111123LSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 07:30B. Molka2.14971171M. Lysakowski1.5811118113WSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 4 · 12:30S. Radlo1.536660M. Lysakowski2.351111113LSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.57101115113M. Lysakowski2.251281341LSep 4 · 08:00S. Radlo2.54911118113M. Lysakowski1.4611771192
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.4131111143M. Burkacki2.601184121WSep 7 · 08:30M. Lysakowski1.8613491132D. Skvarskyi1.831111116113WSep 7 · 06:30S. Radlo2.051061181D. Skvarskyi1.7012118113LSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.5091210111S. Radlo2.40111012133LSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113
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