TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102438
Played Sep 9Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.72
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116811119115––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:36 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
116811119115––
H2H Dawid Stapor 50–28 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 28 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-28 in 78
Stapor
Correct
gap of 22 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1536 vs Wloszek 1557
Wloszek
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Wloszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Wloszek 30%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Wloszek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.72 / Wloszek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stapor)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13102438
Stapor1.72
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 178 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it99% 91 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it87% 134 of 155
Wloszek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor6wins
AwayWloszek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor80%4 of 5
AwayWloszek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S2Stapor5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S3Stapor6Wloszek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor3Wloszek4n = 7Wloszek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporWloszekS − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.436.4+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 917 vs 452 / 103053.1%43.9%487 / 917 vs 452 / 1030Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.72/Wloszek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 07:00D. Stapor—11811113S. Wloszek—611951
WSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor—1113113S. Wloszek—51160
LSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor—1081171S. Wloszek—12115113
WSep 5 · 13:45D. Stapor—881112113S. Wloszek—111161052
LSep 5 · 11:35D. Stapor—9111191S. Wloszek—11713113
LSep 2 · 05:30D. Stapor—91090S. Wloszek—1112113
WAug 28 · 09:00D. Stapor—312117133S. Wloszek—1110711112
WAug 27 · 13:10D. Stapor—13139123S. Wloszek—111111101
LAug 27 · 10:00D. Stapor—1171191S. Wloszek—91113113
WAug 19 · 12:00D. Stapor—1111113S. Wloszek—4570
D. Stapor10
LSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191WSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182LSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552WSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160WSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113LSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970
S. Wloszek10
WSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka—8870S. Wloszek—1111113LSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162LSep 8 · 10:30S. Radlo1.53141011133S. Wloszek2.2312129111WSep 8 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.291110661S. Wloszek3.0591211113LSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka1.57101111113S. Wloszek2.15128971LSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113
Upcoming Matches
D. Stapor
S. Wloszek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.