TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097539
Played Sep 8Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191012611611––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
3.05
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:30 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1191012611611––
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 5–7 Sylwester Wloszek Maksim Ovcharenko has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:30What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (70%)
Ovcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Wloszek
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1717 vs Wloszek 1544
Ovcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 60% vs Wloszek 0%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 70% vs Wloszek 30%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko +1 · Wloszek -5
Wloszek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.29 / Wloszek 3.05
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13097539
Ovcharenko1.29
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 29 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Wloszek3.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 337
Down 0–1, comes back18% 36 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvcharenko5wins
AwayWloszek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenko80%4 of 5
AwayWloszek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S2Ovcharenko4Wloszek6n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S3Ovcharenko5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S4Ovcharenko6Wloszek3n = 9Ovcharenko took 6 of 9
S5Ovcharenko1Wloszek2n = 3Wloszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoWloszekO − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.138.1+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 169 vs 450 / 102562.1%43.9%105 / 169 vs 450 / 1025Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.29/Wloszek 3.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.7%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 16:05M. Ovcharenko—63121182S. Wloszek—1111101113
LSep 3 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko—11710101S. Wloszek—61112123
WSep 3 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko—111113113S. Wloszek—441531
LFeb 23 · 10:30M. Ovcharenko—5870S. Wloszek—1111113
WFeb 21 · 11:35M. Ovcharenko—11116113S. Wloszek—771111
LFeb 20 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko—391171S. Wloszek—11117113
WFeb 17 · 14:30M. Ovcharenko—125117113S. Wloszek—101161182
WFeb 17 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko—91211113S. Wloszek—1110991
WFeb 15 · 21:05M. Ovcharenko—13117113S. Wloszek—1171181
LFeb 10 · 14:10M. Ovcharenko—710111182S. Wloszek—111296113
M. Ovcharenko10
WSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182WSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113WSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 19:05M. Stepien2.278850M. Ovcharenko1.521111113LSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182WSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113WSep 4 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko1.5511116113M. Stepien2.20341181
S. Wloszek10
LSep 8 · 10:30S. Radlo1.53141011133S. Wloszek2.2312129111LSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka1.57101111113S. Wloszek2.15128971LSep 8 · 05:00D. Stapor1.701113113S. Wloszek1.9651160LSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330LSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102WSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113WSep 6 · 17:05D. Stapor1.601081171S. Wloszek2.1012115113WSep 6 · 16:05S. Wloszek3.151111101113M. Ovcharenko1.2863121182LSep 5 · 13:45S. Wloszek1.98111161052D. Stapor1.73881112113
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