TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101012
Played Sep 9Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012118211112115
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 83 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.3%
83 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 2–1 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1339 vs Fomin 1447
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 0% vs Fomin 20%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 10% vs Fomin 30%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -5 · Fomin -1
Skliar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 1.91 / Fomin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13101012
Skliar1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 14 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Fomin1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 49 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it66% 36 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkliar2wins
AwayFomin1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSkliar leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkliar66.7%2 of 3
AwayFominn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar3Fomin0n = 3Skliar took 3 of 3
S2Skliar1Fomin2n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
S3Skliar2Fomin1n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S4Skliar2Fomin1n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkliarFominS − FBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match44.737.7+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarFominBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 114 vs 271 / 56050%48.4%57 / 114 vs 271 / 560Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominSkliar 1.91/Fomin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 22:05M. Skliar—11119113M. Fomin—681121
WAug 31 · 22:05M. Skliar—11911113M. Fomin—911871
LAug 24 · 22:35M. Skliar—111112792M. Fomin—6131011113
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
M. Fomin10
WSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141LSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
Upcoming Matches
M. Skliar
Sep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40Y. Stepanchuk1.30—Sep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.25D. Kim1.57—Sep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar3.75H. Kulishov1.25—Sep 10 · 03:05M. Skliar2.63Y. Sokoltsov1.44—Sep 10 · 22:05M. Skliar1.91M. Fomin1.80—Sep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75A. Peretiatko1.40—Sep 11 · 24:05M. Skliar2.63M. Polysynskyi1.44—Sep 11 · 02:05M. Skliar3.75H. Kulishov1.25—Sep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.25D. Kim1.57—
M. Fomin
Sep 10 · 24:35M. Fomin2.10Y. Stepanchuk1.67—Sep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.25D. Kim1.57—Sep 10 · 04:05M. Fomin1.83H. Kulishov1.83—Sep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.80M. Skliar1.91—Sep 10 · 23:35M. Fomin1.73H. Kulishov2.00—Sep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.25D. Kim1.57—Sep 11 · 01:35M. Fomin1.83M. Polysynskyi1.83—Sep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.83A. Peretiatko1.83—
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