TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089286
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210911117––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 58.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 33–14 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 14 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-14 in 47
Kim
Correct
gap of 19 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1540 vs Fomin 1447
Kim
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Fomin 20%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 60% vs Fomin 30%
Kim
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim +2 · Fomin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.61 / Fomin 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kim)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089286
Kim1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 53 of 67
Fomin2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 94 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim5wins
AwayFomin5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim80%4 of 5
AwayFomin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S2Kim7Fomin3n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S3Kim5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S4Kim3Fomin5n = 8Fomin took 5 of 8
S5Kim2Fomin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimFominK − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.4+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimFominBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 1012 vs 271 / 56048.1%48.4%487 / 1012 vs 271 / 560Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.61/Fomin 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 23:05D. Kim—1211911102M. Fomin—146119123
LSep 3 · 24:35D. Kim—9114101M. Fomin—11811123
WSep 1 · 03:35D. Kim—1111113M. Fomin—7990
LAug 30 · 21:35D. Kim—111971M. Fomin—11711113
WAug 25 · 24:35D. Kim—11711113M. Fomin—411491
WAug 21 · 04:05D. Kim—1111113M. Fomin—7780
WAug 19 · 14:25D. Kim—111275123M. Fomin—6101111102
WAug 18 · 24:35D. Kim—913119113M. Fomin—111151162
LAug 13 · 21:35D. Kim—96111182M. Fomin—111155113
LAug 13 · 24:35D. Kim—1110481M. Fomin—61211113
D. Kim10
WSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291LSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791
M. Fomin10
WSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141LSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
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