TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089222
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
211113112119––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 60 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 68–102 Andrii Peretiatko Dmitriy Kim has won 68 of their 170 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-102 in 170
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 34 in 170, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1509 vs Peretiatko 1530
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 40% vs Peretiatko 80%
Peretiatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 40% vs Peretiatko 80%
Peretiatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim -1 · Peretiatko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 2.00 / Peretiatko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Peretiatko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089222
Kim2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 150 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back33% 68 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 106
Peretiatko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 76 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it71% 58 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim4wins
AwayPeretiatko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim50%2 of 4
AwayPeretiatko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S2Kim6Peretiatko4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Kim3Peretiatko7n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Kim3Peretiatko5n = 8Peretiatko took 5 of 8
S5Kim3Peretiatko2n = 5Kim took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimPeretiatkoK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.342.5−3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 1012 vs 367 / 77847.9%47.2%485 / 1012 vs 367 / 778Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoKim 2.00/Peretiatko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 03:05D. Kim—1611113A. Peretiatko—14880
WAug 7 · 04:05D. Kim—211118113A. Peretiatko—11671142
WAug 6 · 02:35D. Kim—117911123A. Peretiatko—911119102
LAug 3 · 23:05D. Kim—1145151A. Peretiatko—71111173
WJul 31 · 03:05D. Kim—311211113A. Peretiatko—11811682
LJul 28 · 03:35D. Kim—6770A. Peretiatko—1111113
LJul 23 · 22:05D. Kim—1011111182A. Peretiatko—126913113
LJul 20 · 02:35D. Kim—811911102A. Peretiatko—118115123
LJul 7 · 24:35D. Kim—119571A. Peretiatko—91111113
LJul 3 · 02:35D. Kim—9117101A. Peretiatko—11911123
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113LSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740
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