TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089252
Played Sep 7Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111613111012411
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 97 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 27–32 Andrii Peretiatko Mykola Polysynskyi has won 27 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Peretiatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-32 in 59
Peretiatko
Correct
gap of 5 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1453 vs Peretiatko 1522
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 80% vs Peretiatko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 50% vs Peretiatko 70%
Peretiatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi +1 · Peretiatko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.83 / Peretiatko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Peretiatko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089252
Polysynskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Peretiatko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi4wins
AwayPeretiatko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi37.5%3 of 8
AwayPeretiatkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi8Peretiatko2n = 10Polysynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Polysynskyi4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S3Polysynskyi4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S5Polysynskyi1Peretiatko3n = 4Peretiatko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiPeretiatkoPolysynskyi − PeretiatkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.1−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 690 vs 366 / 77851.9%47%358 / 690 vs 366 / 778Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPolysynskyi 1.83/Peretiatko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—111158133A. Peretiatko—891111112
LAug 23 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi—1171161A. Peretiatko—91113113
LAug 18 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi—118119102A. Peretiatko—711711123
WJun 29 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi—11116113A. Peretiatko—651191
LJun 24 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—13711852A. Peretiatko—1111811113
LJun 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—11881172A. Peretiatko—811116113
WSep 4 · 15:25M. Polysynskyi—111011113A. Peretiatko—812881
LAug 28 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi—9117101A. Peretiatko—11711123
LAug 14 · 23:25M. Polysynskyi—1111591A. Peretiatko—91311103
WJul 16 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—51111113A. Peretiatko—117831
M. Polysynskyi10
WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113LSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113WSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83111158133A. Peretiatko1.83891111112LAug 26 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.73991171Y. Stepanchuk2.0011119113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83761151S. Pitsyk1.8311118113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291LSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113LAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83111158133A. Peretiatko1.83891111112
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