TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088669
Played Sep 8Finished
Danylo Us
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611118711––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDanylo Us to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Danylo Us at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Us 26–15 Andrii Peretiatko Andrii Peretiatko has won 15 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Us
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-15 in 41
Us
Wrong
gap of 11 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Us 1455 vs Peretiatko 1501
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 80% vs Peretiatko 40%
Us
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 60% vs Peretiatko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Us +3 · Peretiatko -2
Us
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Us)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 1.67 / Peretiatko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Us)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13088669
Us1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 38 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it70% 28 of 40
Peretiatko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 87 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUs5wins
AwayPeretiatko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUs66.7%4 of 6
AwayPeretiatko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Us6Peretiatko4n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S2Us5Peretiatko5n = 10split evenly
S3Us5Peretiatko5n = 10split evenly
S4Us4Peretiatko5n = 9Peretiatko took 5 of 9
S5Us2Peretiatko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUsPeretiatkoU − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.8−1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 479 vs 365 / 77742.2%47%202 / 479 vs 365 / 777Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UsUs 1.67/Peretiatko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Us · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 24:35D. Us—711811113A. Peretiatko—11611952
WAug 25 · 01:05D. Us—1511133A. Peretiatko—139110
LAug 9 · 22:35D. Us—16185432A. Peretiatko—14161111113
LAug 6 · 03:35D. Us—9101151A. Peretiatko—11126113
LJul 6 · 22:05D. Us—711591A. Peretiatko—11711113
LJul 3 · 01:05D. Us—691191A. Peretiatko—11117113
WJun 28 · 22:05D. Us—11811113A. Peretiatko—911981
WJun 23 · 02:35D. Us—11119113A. Peretiatko—981161
LJun 18 · 13:25D. Us—115911102A. Peretiatko—711116123
WJun 18 · 01:05D. Us—118158113A. Peretiatko—911131182
D. Us10
WSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113WSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291WSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113LSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791
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