TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088777
Played Sep 8Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116711112411711
Danylo Us
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 81 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 61.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 11–10 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sokoltsov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1536 vs Us 1455
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 80% vs Us 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 70% vs Us 50%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +3 · Us +2
Sokoltsov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.61 / Us 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088777
Sokoltsov1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it77% 69 of 90
Us2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov5wins
AwayUs5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov50%3 of 6
AwayUs50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Sokoltsov5Us5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Us3n = 7Sokoltsov took 4 of 7
S5Sokoltsov2Us4n = 6Us took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovUsS − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.3+3.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovUsBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 520 vs 202 / 47949%42.2%255 / 520 vs 202 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.61/Us 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov—11711472D. Us—611211113
LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—11116982D. Us—441111113
WAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—91411113D. Us—1112561
LAug 24 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov—111011672D. Us—712411113
WJul 10 · 17:25Y. Sokoltsov—1071112113D. Us—121171052
WJun 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111163D. Us—68140
WJun 8 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov—1311113D. Us—11970
WMay 6 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—1171211113D. Us—71114652
LApr 13 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—91251192D. Us—1110116113
LMar 3 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—1211110D. Us—1413133
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113
D. Us10
LSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113WSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113WSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123
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