TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088914
Played Sep 7Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113811116118116
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 43–37 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 37 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-37 in 80
Sokoltsov
Correct
gap of 6 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1530 vs Kim 1519
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 80% vs Kim 60%
Sokoltsov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kim 40%
Sokoltsov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +1 · Kim +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.80 / Kim 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13088914
Sokoltsov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it77% 69 of 90
Kim1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 150 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back33% 68 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov7wins
AwayKim3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov85.7%6 of 7
AwayKim66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov7Kim3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov6Kim4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Kim4n = 8split evenly
S5Sokoltsov4Kim1n = 5Sokoltsov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKimS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.037.8+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 520 vs 486 / 101249%48%255 / 520 vs 486 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.80/Kim 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—561111102D. Kim—111179123
WAug 27 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov—912711113D. Kim—111011742
WAug 24 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—115117113D. Kim—51191172
WAug 21 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111113D. Kim—6890
WAug 16 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—11117113D. Kim—441181
LAug 13 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—45100D. Kim—1111123
WAug 11 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—111189113D. Kim—95111152
WAug 6 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111109123D. Kim—911211102
WAug 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—11118113D. Kim—691151
LJul 30 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—1167121D. Kim—71111143
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123
D. Kim10
WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123
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