TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088691
Played Sep 8Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121210116––––
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeMykola Polysynskyi to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Yevhenii Sokoltsov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 65 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Mykola Polysynskyi at 58.8%
65 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 34–18 Yevhenii Sokoltsov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 18 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:08What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Polysynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-18 in 52
Polysynskyi
Correct
gap of 16 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1442 vs Sokoltsov 1518
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 20% vs Sokoltsov 60%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Sokoltsov 70%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -3 · Sokoltsov -1
Polysynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Polysynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.57 / Sokoltsov 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Polysynskyi)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13088691
Polysynskyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 83 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 61 of 85
Sokoltsov2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 59 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi5wins
AwaySokoltsov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi75%3 of 4
AwaySokoltsov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi4Sokoltsov6n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Polysynskyi6Sokoltsov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Polysynskyi6Sokoltsov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi2Sokoltsov5n = 7Sokoltsov took 5 of 7
S5Polysynskyi3Sokoltsov2n = 5Polysynskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiSokoltsovP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.4−1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiSokoltsovBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 694 vs 254 / 52051.7%48.9%359 / 694 vs 254 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiPolysynskyi 1.57/Sokoltsov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi—1412113Y. Sokoltsov—121060
LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi—114139122Y. Sokoltsov—6111111143
WAug 21 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi—911115113Y. Sokoltsov—11681192
LAug 2 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi—59111182Y. Sokoltsov—111197113
LJul 15 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi—311661Y. Sokoltsov—11711113
WJul 9 · 23:55M. Polysynskyi—111147113Y. Sokoltsov—98111132
LJun 22 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi—5630Y. Sokoltsov—1111113
WMay 12 · 22:05M. Polysynskyi—1111113Y. Sokoltsov—9680
WMay 7 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi—751111113Y. Sokoltsov—11116432
LApr 14 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi—1113891Y. Sokoltsov—131111113
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113LSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113LSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113WSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83111158133A. Peretiatko1.83891111112LAug 26 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.73991171Y. Stepanchuk2.0011119113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83761151S. Pitsyk1.8311118113
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181WAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143
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