TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13014926
Played Aug 26Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181195118111311
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 98 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 27–32 Andrii Peretiatko Mykola Polysynskyi has won 27 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-32 in 59
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1417 vs Peretiatko 1485
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 20% vs Peretiatko 60%
Peretiatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 30% vs Peretiatko 60%
Peretiatko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -3 · Peretiatko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polysynskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.83 / Peretiatko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Peretiatko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13014926
Polysynskyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Peretiatko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi4wins
AwayPeretiatko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi37.5%3 of 8
AwayPeretiatkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi8Peretiatko2n = 10Polysynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Polysynskyi4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S3Polysynskyi4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi4Peretiatko6n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S5Polysynskyi1Peretiatko3n = 4Peretiatko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiPeretiatkoPolysynskyi − PeretiatkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.442.1−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 710 vs 350 / 74952%46.7%369 / 710 vs 350 / 749Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPolysynskyi 1.83/Peretiatko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—111158133A. Peretiatko—891111112
LAug 23 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi—1171161A. Peretiatko—91113113
LAug 18 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi—118119102A. Peretiatko—711711123
WJun 29 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi—11116113A. Peretiatko—651191
LJun 24 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—13711852A. Peretiatko—1111811113
LJun 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—11881172A. Peretiatko—811116113
WSep 4 · 15:25M. Polysynskyi—111011113A. Peretiatko—812881
LAug 28 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi—9117101A. Peretiatko—11711123
LAug 14 · 23:25M. Polysynskyi—1111591A. Peretiatko—91311103
WJul 16 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—51111113A. Peretiatko—117831
M. Polysynskyi10
LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490LAug 26 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.73991171Y. Stepanchuk2.0011119113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83761151S. Pitsyk1.8311118113LAug 23 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831171161A. Peretiatko1.8391113113WAug 21 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov2.3811681192M. Polysynskyi1.53911115113LAug 21 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi1.731110111152D. Kim2.00912137113LAug 21 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi2.50117119162H. Kulishov1.50911311183WAug 20 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi1.6111912113V. Sharpai2.207111041
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WAug 23 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831171161A. Peretiatko1.8391113113
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