TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462051
Played Aug 21Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611811115911
Mykola Polysynskyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeMykola Polysynskyi to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Mykola Polysynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Mykola Polysynskyi at 69.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 17–32 Mykola Polysynskyi Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 17 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Polysynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-32 in 49
Polysynskyi
Correct
gap of 15 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1517 vs Polysynskyi 1421
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Polysynskyi 40%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Polysynskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +2 · Polysynskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Polysynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polysynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.38 / Polysynskyi 1.53
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Polysynskyi)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12462051
Sokoltsov2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 60 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Polysynskyi1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 96 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it76% 71 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov4wins
AwayPolysynskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPolysynskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov80%4 of 5
AwayPolysynskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov5Polysynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Sokoltsov4Polysynskyi6n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov5Polysynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Sokoltsov4Polysynskyi3n = 7Sokoltsov took 4 of 7
S5Sokoltsov1Polysynskyi3n = 4Polysynskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovPolysynskyiS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.837.1+0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovPolysynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 509 vs 373 / 71349.3%52.3%251 / 509 vs 373 / 713Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiSokoltsov 2.38/Polysynskyi 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—111197113M. Polysynskyi—59111182
WJul 15 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—11711113M. Polysynskyi—311661
LJul 9 · 23:55Y. Sokoltsov—98111132M. Polysynskyi—111147113
WJun 22 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111113M. Polysynskyi—5630
LMay 12 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—9680M. Polysynskyi—1111113
LMay 7 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov—11116432M. Polysynskyi—751111113
WApr 14 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov—131111113M. Polysynskyi—1113891
LApr 7 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov—810111142M. Polysynskyi—111266113
LApr 1 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—1211971M. Polysynskyi—14811113
LMar 27 · 01:25Y. Sokoltsov—91080M. Polysynskyi—1112113
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113
M. Polysynskyi10
LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83111158133A. Peretiatko1.83891111112LAug 26 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.73991171Y. Stepanchuk2.0011119113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83761151S. Pitsyk1.8311118113LAug 23 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831171161A. Peretiatko1.8391113113LAug 21 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi1.731110111152D. Kim2.00912137113LAug 21 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi2.50117119162H. Kulishov1.50911311183WAug 20 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi1.6111912113V. Sharpai2.207111041
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sokoltsov
M. Polysynskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.