TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462019
Played Aug 21Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1197111139111618
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 16-18
Point 106 set 5, 16-18 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 55.8%
106 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 20–15 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-15 in 35
Polysynskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1436 vs Kulishov 1604
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 60% vs Kulishov 80%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 50% vs Kulishov 70%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi +1 · Kulishov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 2.50 / Kulishov 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12462019
Polysynskyi2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 21 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Kulishov1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 166 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it71% 127 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi75%3 of 4
AwayKulishov100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S2Polysynskyi3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Polysynskyi6Kulishov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi0Kulishov7n = 7Kulishov took 7 of 7
S5Polysynskyi2Kulishov1n = 3Polysynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.440.0−6.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 711 vs 469 / 93152.5%50.4%373 / 711 vs 469 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovPolysynskyi 2.50/Kulishov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi—1111113H. Kulishov—9790
LJul 15 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—5680H. Kulishov—1111113
LJul 12 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi—91111582H. Kulishov—119711113
LJun 29 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi—541861H. Kulishov—111116113
LJun 25 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi—8940H. Kulishov—1111113
LJun 21 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi—411941H. Kulishov—11911113
LJun 14 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—117771H. Kulishov—71111113
WJun 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi—119112113H. Kulishov—81161192
WJul 22 · 02:35M. Polysynskyi—1111115113H. Kulishov—71351142
LJul 17 · 04:05M. Polysynskyi—561371H. Kulishov—111111113
M. Polysynskyi10
LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83111158133A. Peretiatko1.83891111112LAug 26 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.73991171Y. Stepanchuk2.0011119113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83761151S. Pitsyk1.8311118113LAug 23 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831171161A. Peretiatko1.8391113113WAug 21 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov2.3811681192M. Polysynskyi1.53911115113LAug 21 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi1.731110111152D. Kim2.00912137113WAug 20 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi1.6111912113V. Sharpai2.207111041
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Polysynskyi
H. Kulishov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.