TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015042
Played Aug 27Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11641113119111214
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMykola Polysynskyi to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Yevhenii Sokoltsov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 102 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Mykola Polysynskyi at 60.7%
102 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 32–17 Yevhenii Sokoltsov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 17 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Polysynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-17 in 49
Polysynskyi
Wrong
gap of 15 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1449 vs Sokoltsov 1513
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 60% vs Sokoltsov 80%
Sokoltsov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 50% vs Sokoltsov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi +3 · Sokoltsov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Polysynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.57 / Sokoltsov 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Polysynskyi)+1.3pp
Setka Cup · #13015042
Polysynskyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 92 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 69 of 93
Sokoltsov2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 59 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi6wins
AwaySokoltsov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPolysynskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi100%5 of 5
AwaySokoltsov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi5Sokoltsov5n = 10split evenly
S2Polysynskyi6Sokoltsov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Polysynskyi5Sokoltsov5n = 10split evenly
S4Polysynskyi3Sokoltsov4n = 7Sokoltsov took 4 of 7
S5Polysynskyi3Sokoltsov1n = 4Polysynskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiSokoltsovP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.137.8−0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiSokoltsovBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 709 vs 256 / 51551.9%49.7%368 / 709 vs 256 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiPolysynskyi 1.57/Sokoltsov 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi—59111182Y. Sokoltsov—111197113
LJul 15 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi—311661Y. Sokoltsov—11711113
WJul 9 · 23:55M. Polysynskyi—111147113Y. Sokoltsov—98111132
LJun 22 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi—5630Y. Sokoltsov—1111113
WMay 12 · 22:05M. Polysynskyi—1111113Y. Sokoltsov—9680
WMay 7 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi—751111113Y. Sokoltsov—11116432
LApr 14 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi—1113891Y. Sokoltsov—131111113
WApr 7 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi—111266113Y. Sokoltsov—810111142
WApr 1 · 24:35M. Polysynskyi—14811113Y. Sokoltsov—1211971
WMar 27 · 01:25M. Polysynskyi—1112113Y. Sokoltsov—91080
M. Polysynskyi10
WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83111158133A. Peretiatko1.83891111112LAug 26 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.73991171Y. Stepanchuk2.0011119113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83761151S. Pitsyk1.8311118113LAug 23 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831171161A. Peretiatko1.8391113113WAug 21 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov2.3811681192M. Polysynskyi1.53911115113LAug 21 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi1.731110111152D. Kim2.00912137113LAug 21 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi2.50117119162H. Kulishov1.50911311183WAug 20 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi1.6111912113V. Sharpai2.207111041
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LAug 21 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov2.3811681192M. Polysynskyi1.53911115113
Upcoming Matches
M. Polysynskyi
Y. Sokoltsov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.