TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088809
Played Sep 8Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111161131614––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 16-14
Point 81 set 4, 16-14 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 64.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 22–5 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-5 in 27
Sokoltsov
Correct
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1549 vs Fomin 1439
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 80% vs Fomin 20%
Sokoltsov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 70% vs Fomin 40%
Sokoltsov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +2 · Fomin -4
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sokoltsov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.53 / Fomin 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088809
Sokoltsov1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 89 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it77% 69 of 90
Fomin2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 94 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov8wins
AwayFomin2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov100%7 of 7
AwayFomin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov7Fomin3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov7Fomin3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov5Fomin2n = 7Sokoltsov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovFominS − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.8+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovFominBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 520 vs 270 / 55849%48.4%255 / 520 vs 270 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.53/Fomin 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov—91111163M. Fomin—1163141
WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov—113811113M. Fomin—41111792
LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—761561M. Fomin—111113113
WAug 25 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511771
LAug 20 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—7390M. Fomin—1111113
WAug 13 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—1111113M. Fomin—8960
WAug 11 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—111594113M. Fomin—513111192
WAug 7 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511341
WJul 20 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511791
WJul 14 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—1113113M. Fomin—81170
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113
M. Fomin10
LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
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