TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089365
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121416811––––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:09 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 71 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 56.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 26–20 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 20 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-20 in 46
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1518 vs Fomin 1439
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 60% vs Fomin 0%
Peretiatko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 70% vs Fomin 30%
Peretiatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -1 · Fomin -5
Fomin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Peretiatko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.67 / Fomin 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Peretiatko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089365
Peretiatko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 76 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it71% 58 of 82
Fomin2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 94 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko5wins
AwayFomin5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko60%3 of 5
AwayFomin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S2Peretiatko4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Peretiatko7Fomin3n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Peretiatko3Fomin3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoFominP − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.8+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoFominBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 777 vs 270 / 55847.1%48.4%366 / 777 vs 270 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPeretiatko 1.67/Fomin 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko—81111113M. Fomin—111981
LSep 1 · 24:35A. Peretiatko—67120M. Fomin—1111143
WAug 31 · 24:35A. Peretiatko—1112143M. Fomin—410120
LAug 24 · 21:35A. Peretiatko—8411111M. Fomin—11119133
WAug 17 · 22:05A. Peretiatko—1111113M. Fomin—6460
WAug 14 · 01:05A. Peretiatko—10101111113M. Fomin—12126972
LAug 12 · 22:35A. Peretiatko—106111182M. Fomin—121185113
LAug 11 · 24:35A. Peretiatko—117571M. Fomin—61111113
WAug 7 · 02:35A. Peretiatko—1111113M. Fomin—8760
LAug 5 · 23:05A. Peretiatko—1171191M. Fomin—91113113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113LSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291WSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113LSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791
M. Fomin10
LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171LSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141LSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
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