TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088910
Played Sep 8Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511511811––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Polysynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mykola Polysynskyi at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 46–30 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 30 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polysynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-30 in 76
Polysynskyi
Wrong
gap of 16 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1424 vs Kim 1531
Kim
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Kim 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Kim 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -2 · Kim +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polysynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polysynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.73 / Kim 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polysynskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088910
Polysynskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 83 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 61 of 85
Kim2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 150 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back33% 68 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi4wins
AwayKim6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi28.6%2 of 7
AwayKim33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi7Kim3n = 10Polysynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Polysynskyi7Kim3n = 10Polysynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Polysynskyi4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi4Kim4n = 8split evenly
S5Polysynskyi0Kim4n = 4Kim took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiKimP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.339.8+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiKimBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 693 vs 486 / 101251.7%48%358 / 693 vs 486 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiPolysynskyi 1.73/Kim 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi—115581D. Kim—91111113
WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi—1111113D. Kim—9490
LAug 21 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi—1110111152D. Kim—912137113
LAug 17 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi—12118862D. Kim—1081111113
WAug 3 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi—1111113D. Kim—7690
LJul 16 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi—1110511122D. Kim—812119143
WJun 28 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—81111113D. Kim—113661
LJun 24 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi—1212108132D. Kim—10101211153
WJun 22 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi—91111113D. Kim—113951
LJun 18 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi—8111271D. Kim—11714113
M. Polysynskyi10
WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113LSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113WSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490WAug 26 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83111158133A. Peretiatko1.83891111112LAug 26 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.73991171Y. Stepanchuk2.0011119113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83761151S. Pitsyk1.8311118113
D. Kim10
WSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291LSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490
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