TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100902
Played Sep 9Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811511––––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 66.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 22–5 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sokoltsov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-5 in 27
Sokoltsov
Wrong
gap of 17 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1505 vs Fomin 1433
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Fomin 20%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Fomin 30%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -3 · Fomin -2
Sokoltsov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.50 / Fomin 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100902
Sokoltsov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 91 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Fomin2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 94 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov8wins
AwayFomin2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov100%7 of 7
AwayFomin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov7Fomin3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov7Fomin3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov5Fomin2n = 7Sokoltsov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovFominS − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.8+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovFominBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 521 vs 271 / 56148.8%48.3%254 / 521 vs 271 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.50/Fomin 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.8%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov—91111163M. Fomin—1163141
WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov—113811113M. Fomin—41111792
LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—761561M. Fomin—111113113
WAug 25 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511771
LAug 20 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—7390M. Fomin—1111113
WAug 13 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—1111113M. Fomin—8960
WAug 11 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—111594113M. Fomin—513111192
WAug 7 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511341
WJul 20 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511791
WJul 14 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—1113113M. Fomin—81170
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970
M. Fomin10
LSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141LSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sokoltsov
M. Fomin
Sep 10 · 24:35M. Fomin2.10Y. Stepanchuk1.67—Sep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.25D. Kim1.57—Sep 10 · 04:05M. Fomin1.83H. Kulishov1.83—Sep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.80M. Skliar1.91—Sep 10 · 23:35M. Fomin1.73H. Kulishov2.00—Sep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.25D. Kim1.57—Sep 11 · 01:35M. Fomin1.83M. Polysynskyi1.83—Sep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.83A. Peretiatko1.83—
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