TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101198
Played Sep 9Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111315911––––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 68 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 43–37 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 37 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:46What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sokoltsov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-37 in 80
Sokoltsov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1518 vs Kim 1540
Kim
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kim 80%
Kim
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 70% vs Kim 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -2 · Kim +3
Kim
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.80 / Kim 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13101198
Sokoltsov1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 91 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Kim1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 151 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back34% 70 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov7wins
AwayKim3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov85.7%6 of 7
AwayKim66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov7Kim3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov6Kim4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Kim4n = 8split evenly
S5Sokoltsov4Kim1n = 5Sokoltsov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKimS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.037.8+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 520 vs 487 / 101248.9%48.1%254 / 520 vs 487 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.80/Kim 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—561111102D. Kim—111179123
WAug 27 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov—912711113D. Kim—111011742
WAug 24 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—115117113D. Kim—51191172
WAug 21 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111113D. Kim—6890
WAug 16 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—11117113D. Kim—441181
LAug 13 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—45100D. Kim—1111123
WAug 11 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—111189113D. Kim—95111152
WAug 6 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111109123D. Kim—911211102
WAug 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—11118113D. Kim—691151
LJul 30 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—1167121D. Kim—71111143
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181
D. Kim10
WSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291LSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sokoltsov
D. Kim
Sep 9 · 23:05D. Kim1.83H. Kulishov1.83—Sep 10 · 01:05D. Kim1.57M. Skliar2.25—Sep 10 · 02:35D. Kim1.57M. Fomin2.25—Sep 10 · 03:35D. Kim1.91Y. Stepanchuk1.80—Sep 10 · 22:35D. Kim2.00M. Polysynskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 24:35D. Kim1.57M. Fomin2.25—Sep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20A. Peretiatko1.61—Sep 11 · 04:05D. Kim1.57M. Skliar2.25—
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