TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13100015
Played Sep 9Finished
Roksolana Budnyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8114111214––––
Alina Ovriakh
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAlina Ovriakh to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoksolana Budnyk above · Alina Ovriakh below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 60 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Alina Ovriakh at 60.8%
60 points played in total.
H2H Roksolana Budnyk 2–1 Alina Ovriakh Alina Ovriakh has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ovriakh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnyk 1708 vs Ovriakh 1863
Ovriakh
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnyk 60% vs Ovriakh 80%
Ovriakh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnyk 60% vs Ovriakh 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnyk +1 · Ovriakh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ovriakh) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovriakh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnyk 2.63 / Ovriakh 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Ovriakh)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13100015
Budnyk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ovriakh1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBudnyk2wins
AwayOvriakh1wins
Budnyk leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnyk1Ovriakh2n = 3Ovriakh took 2 of 3
S2Budnyk2Ovriakh1n = 3Budnyk took 2 of 3
S3Budnyk2Ovriakh1n = 3Budnyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBudnykOvriakhB − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.030.7+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnykOvriakhBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 107 vs 52 / 8052.3%65%56 / 107 vs 52 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhBudnyk 2.63/Ovriakh 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Ovriakh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovriakh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 12 · 08:30R. Budnyk—91111113A. Ovriakh—118681
WJul 23 · 06:00R. Budnyk—1111123A. Ovriakh—97100
LJul 6 · 04:30R. Budnyk—4670A. Ovriakh—1111113
R. Budnyk10
WSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk3.40811145113N. Plokhotniuk1.30118121192LSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113LAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113WAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113WAug 12 · 06:30U. Dronova1.80911951R. Budnyk1.9111511113WAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113LJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172LJul 23 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.25116411113R. Budnyk3.7581111982WJul 23 · 07:00R. Budnyk1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.206560
A. Ovriakh10
LSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113WAug 13 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.509970WAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113WAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113WAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162LAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.83971191A. Ovriakh1.8311118113LAug 12 · 09:30A. Ovriakh1.50118951U. Dronova2.5091111113LAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113
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