TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12406555
Played Aug 12Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210116115––
Roksolana Budnyk
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 87.1% is still 87.1%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
87.1%
87.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Roksolana Budnyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 87.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 11–3 Roksolana Budnyk Roksolana Budnyk has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Yevtodii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Yevtodii
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1947 vs Budnyk 1721
Yevtodii
Correct
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 100% vs Budnyk 80%
Yevtodii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 80% vs Budnyk 60%
Yevtodii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii +5 · Budnyk +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Yevtodii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.20 / Budnyk 4.33
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Yevtodii)+8.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #12406555
Yevtodii1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Budnyk4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYevtodii8wins
AwayBudnyk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii87.5%7 of 8
AwayBudnykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii8Budnyk2n = 10Yevtodii took 8 of 10
S2Yevtodii7Budnyk3n = 10Yevtodii took 7 of 10
S3Yevtodii5Budnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Yevtodii7Budnyk0n = 7Yevtodii took 7 of 7
S5Yevtodii1Budnyk2n = 3Budnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricYevtodiiBudnykY − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.633.1+7.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiBudnykBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 149 vs 61 / 11471.1%53.5%106 / 149 vs 61 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.20/Budnyk 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.1%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yevtodii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 6 · 09:00I. Yevtodii—1111133R. Budnyk—44110
WMar 26 · 08:35I. Yevtodii—1111123R. Budnyk—76100
WMar 25 · 13:10I. Yevtodii—1111113R. Budnyk—6380
WMar 10 · 06:30I. Yevtodii—11117113R. Budnyk—841131
WFeb 26 · 09:05I. Yevtodii—111110113R. Budnyk—791261
LFeb 25 · 17:10I. Yevtodii—128711102R. Budnyk—1011119123
WFeb 11 · 08:05I. Yevtodii—891112113R. Budnyk—111181072
WJan 11 · 11:16I. Yevtodii—12611103R. Budnyk—1011591
LJan 11 · 09:05I. Yevtodii—71191172R. Budnyk—119116113
WJan 10 · 16:10I. Yevtodii—13113113R. Budnyk—1171101
I. Yevtodii10
WAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682WAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862WAug 13 · 07:00U. Dronova4.0011731162I. Yevtodii1.22611118113WAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.3858100I. Yevtodii1.531111123WAug 12 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.1714114113A. Kurtenko4.501271171WAug 12 · 07:00A. Ovriakh1.80101111562I. Yevtodii1.91129311113WAug 12 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2541111113U. Dronova3.75116561WJul 7 · 10:08I. Yevtodii1.40361111113N. Plokhotniuk2.7511116792
R. Budnyk10
WAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113WAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113WAug 12 · 06:30U. Dronova1.80911951R. Budnyk1.9111511113WAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113LJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172LJul 23 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.25116411113R. Budnyk3.7581111982WJul 23 · 07:00R. Budnyk1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.206560WJul 23 · 06:00A. Ovriakh1.4097100R. Budnyk2.751111123LJul 23 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.40631111A. Rzhevska2.7511117113LJul 6 · 09:58N. Plokhotniuk1.281111113R. Budnyk3.509670
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