TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12417181
Played Aug 13Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111012118118116
Anna Rzhevska
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:30 and never touched — 77.6% is still 77.6%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
77.6%
77.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 77.6%
97 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 5–3 Anna Rzhevska Anna Rzhevska has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:30What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Yevtodii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Yevtodii
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1964 vs Rzhevska 1497
Yevtodii
Correct
both rated, 467 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 100% vs Rzhevska 60%
Yevtodii
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 80% vs Rzhevska 60%
Yevtodii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii +5 · Rzhevska -1
Yevtodii
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Yevtodii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.22 / Rzhevska 4.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Yevtodii)+1.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12417181
Yevtodii1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rzhevska4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeYevtodii5wins
AwayRzhevska3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderYevtodii leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii50%2 of 4
AwayRzhevska25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii4Rzhevska4n = 8split evenly
S2Yevtodii4Rzhevska4n = 8split evenly
S3Yevtodii6Rzhevska2n = 8Yevtodii took 6 of 8
S4Yevtodii5Rzhevska3n = 8Yevtodii took 5 of 8
S5Yevtodii1Rzhevska2n = 3Rzhevska took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricYevtodiiRzhevskaY − RBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match41.039.6+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 152 vs 141 / 25471.7%55.5%109 / 152 vs 141 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.22/Rzhevska 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.6%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yevtodii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 7 · 07:00I. Yevtodii—11512572A. Rzhevska—9111011113
LJun 25 · 06:00I. Yevtodii—811111042A. Rzhevska—116912113
WJun 24 · 06:05I. Yevtodii—11511113A. Rzhevska—611541
WJun 18 · 08:30I. Yevtodii—981111113A. Rzhevska—11115862
WMay 30 · 10:35I. Yevtodii—91111113A. Rzhevska—118891
WApr 27 · 10:00I. Yevtodii—11116113A. Rzhevska—741161
WApr 26 · 17:40I. Yevtodii—131111133A. Rzhevska—1597111
LApr 6 · 12:10I. Yevtodii—129331A. Rzhevska—101111113
I. Yevtodii10
WAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682WAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113WAug 13 · 07:00U. Dronova4.0011731162I. Yevtodii1.22611118113WAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.3858100I. Yevtodii1.531111123WAug 12 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.1714114113A. Kurtenko4.501271171WAug 12 · 07:00A. Ovriakh1.80101111562I. Yevtodii1.91129311113WAug 12 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2541111113U. Dronova3.75116561WJul 7 · 10:08I. Yevtodii1.40361111113N. Plokhotniuk2.7511116792
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113
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