TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12406549
Played Aug 12Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412117411117––
Alina Kurtenko
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 95.0% is still 95.0%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
95.0%
95.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Alina Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 95.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 15–3 Alina Kurtenko Alina Kurtenko has won 3 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Yevtodii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-3 in 18
Yevtodii
Correct
gap of 12 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1931 vs Kurtenko 1667
Yevtodii
Correct
both rated, 264 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 60% vs Kurtenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 70% vs Kurtenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii +3 · Kurtenko -2
Yevtodii
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Yevtodii) · live re-read · sealed at 95% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.17 / Kurtenko 4.50
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Yevtodii)+8.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #12406549
Yevtodii1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kurtenko4.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYevtodii8wins
AwayKurtenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii87.5%7 of 8
AwayKurtenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii8Kurtenko2n = 10Yevtodii took 8 of 10
S2Yevtodii6Kurtenko4n = 10Yevtodii took 6 of 10
S3Yevtodii6Kurtenko4n = 10Yevtodii took 6 of 10
S4Yevtodii4Kurtenko2n = 6Yevtodii took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricYevtodiiKurtenkoY − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.531.0+8.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 147 vs 113 / 21070.8%53.8%104 / 147 vs 113 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.17/Kurtenko 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.2%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yevtodii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 25 · 09:00I. Yevtodii—12119113A. Kurtenko—1091161
WJun 24 · 10:05I. Yevtodii—11511113A. Kurtenko—911881
WJun 18 · 07:00I. Yevtodii—1111113A. Kurtenko—5550
WJun 17 · 06:05I. Yevtodii—119911113A. Kurtenko—51111372
WMay 30 · 07:05I. Yevtodii—9111111113A. Kurtenko—11135472
WMay 29 · 05:30I. Yevtodii—1111113A. Kurtenko—6800
WMay 6 · 06:05I. Yevtodii—1113113A. Kurtenko—61150
WMay 5 · 09:35I. Yevtodii—1111113A. Kurtenko—8660
LApr 27 · 08:30I. Yevtodii—116961A. Kurtenko—91111113
LApr 26 · 11:10I. Yevtodii—61114131A. Kurtenko—11616153
I. Yevtodii10
WAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682WAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862WAug 13 · 07:00U. Dronova4.0011731162I. Yevtodii1.22611118113WAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.3858100I. Yevtodii1.531111123WAug 12 · 07:00A. Ovriakh1.80101111562I. Yevtodii1.91129311113WAug 12 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2541111113U. Dronova3.75116561WJul 7 · 10:08I. Yevtodii1.40361111113N. Plokhotniuk2.7511116792
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162WAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133
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