TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12284435
Played Jul 23Finished
Roksolana Budnyk
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611311117111––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeRoksolana Budnyk to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoksolana Budnyk above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 61 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Roksolana Budnyk at 70.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Roksolana Budnyk 6–2 Anna Rzhevska Anna Rzhevska has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Budnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Budnyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnyk 1663 vs Rzhevska 1557
Budnyk
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnyk 20% vs Rzhevska 0%
Budnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnyk 20% vs Rzhevska 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnyk -2 · Rzhevska -5
Rzhevska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Budnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnyk 1.40 / Rzhevska 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Budnyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12284435
Budnyk1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Rzhevska2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBudnyk6wins
AwayRzhevska2wins
2 of 8 to a deciderBudnyk leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudnyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayRzhevskan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnyk6Rzhevska2n = 8Budnyk took 6 of 8
S2Budnyk5Rzhevska3n = 8Budnyk took 5 of 8
S3Budnyk4Rzhevska4n = 8split evenly
S4Budnyk7Rzhevska0n = 7Budnyk took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricBudnykRzhevskaB − RBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.136.0+5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnykRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 110 vs 132 / 24050%55%55 / 110 vs 132 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnykBudnyk 1.40/Rzhevska 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Budnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 6 · 07:30R. Budnyk—11118143A. Rzhevska—7711121
WOct 20 · 09:05R. Budnyk—41111113A. Rzhevska—113841
WOct 2 · 10:35R. Budnyk—11212103A. Rzhevska—6111071
LAug 13 · 10:11R. Budnyk—917111132A. Rzhevska—111997113
WAug 13 · 05:35R. Budnyk—1111113A. Rzhevska—2560
WMay 7 · 08:35R. Budnyk—111510112A. Rzhevska—8131291
WApr 17 · 12:05R. Budnyk—11125143A. Rzhevska—61011121
LApr 9 · 08:35R. Budnyk—11591142A. Rzhevska—411113113
R. Budnyk10
LAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113WAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113WAug 12 · 06:30U. Dronova1.80911951R. Budnyk1.9111511113WAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113LJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172LJul 23 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.25116411113R. Budnyk3.7581111982WJul 23 · 07:00R. Budnyk1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.206560WJul 23 · 06:00A. Ovriakh1.4097100R. Budnyk2.751111123LJul 6 · 09:58N. Plokhotniuk1.281111113R. Budnyk3.509670
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630WJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.