TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12284429
Played Jul 23Finished
Roksolana Budnyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115116––––
Alina Kurtenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeRoksolana Budnyk to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoksolana Budnyk above · Alina Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Roksolana Budnyk at 58.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Roksolana Budnyk 12–8 Alina Kurtenko Alina Kurtenko has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Budnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Budnyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnyk 1664 vs Kurtenko 1635
Budnyk
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnyk 40% vs Kurtenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnyk 20% vs Kurtenko 60%
Kurtenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnyk +1 · Kurtenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Budnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnyk 1.61 / Kurtenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Budnyk)+1.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12284429
Budnyk1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kurtenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudnyk5wins
AwayKurtenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudnyk57.1%4 of 7
AwayKurtenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnyk7Kurtenko3n = 10Budnyk took 7 of 10
S2Budnyk5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Budnyk4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Budnyk4Kurtenko5n = 9Kurtenko took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudnykKurtenkoB − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.2+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnykKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 115 vs 111 / 20849.6%53.4%57 / 115 vs 111 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnykBudnyk 1.61/Kurtenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Budnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Budnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 07:00R. Budnyk—1111113A. Kurtenko—6560
LMar 26 · 09:35R. Budnyk—881112102A. Kurtenko—1111810123
LMar 25 · 16:44R. Budnyk—115781A. Kurtenko—51111113
WMar 25 · 14:10R. Budnyk—1111117113A. Kurtenko—61351162
WMar 10 · 09:00R. Budnyk—111110113A. Kurtenko—981281
WFeb 25 · 11:40R. Budnyk—11118113A. Kurtenko—281191
LFeb 11 · 12:35R. Budnyk—1110281A. Kurtenko—71211113
WOct 20 · 10:18R. Budnyk—101111113A. Kurtenko—127741
LOct 20 · 05:35R. Budnyk—711751A. Kurtenko—11111113
LOct 2 · 06:35R. Budnyk—118941A. Kurtenko—91111113
R. Budnyk10
LAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113WAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113WAug 12 · 06:30U. Dronova1.80911951R. Budnyk1.9111511113WAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113LJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172LJul 23 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.25116411113R. Budnyk3.7581111982WJul 23 · 06:00A. Ovriakh1.4097100R. Budnyk2.751111123LJul 23 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.40631111A. Rzhevska2.7511117113LJul 6 · 09:58N. Plokhotniuk1.281111113R. Budnyk3.509670
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162LAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113
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