TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12406547
Played Aug 12Finished
Alina Kurtenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113511––––
Roksolana Budnyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeRoksolana Budnyk to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Kurtenko above · Roksolana Budnyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 59 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Roksolana Budnyk at 58.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Alina Kurtenko 8–12 Roksolana Budnyk Alina Kurtenko has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Budnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Budnyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1663 vs Budnyk 1709
Budnyk
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 40% vs Budnyk 60%
Budnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Budnyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -3 · Budnyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Budnyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.20 / Budnyk 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Budnyk)+1.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12406547
Kurtenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Budnyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko5wins
AwayBudnyk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayBudnyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko3Budnyk7n = 10Budnyk took 7 of 10
S2Kurtenko5Budnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurtenko6Budnyk4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurtenko5Budnyk4n = 9Kurtenko took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoBudnykK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.4−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoBudnykBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 211 vs 60 / 11453.6%52.6%113 / 211 vs 60 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnykKurtenko 2.20/Budnyk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Budnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Budnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 23 · 07:00A. Kurtenko—6560R. Budnyk—1111113
WMar 26 · 09:35A. Kurtenko—1111810123R. Budnyk—881112102
WMar 25 · 16:44A. Kurtenko—51111113R. Budnyk—115781
LMar 25 · 14:10A. Kurtenko—61351162R. Budnyk—1111117113
LMar 10 · 09:00A. Kurtenko—981281R. Budnyk—111110113
LFeb 25 · 11:40A. Kurtenko—281191R. Budnyk—11118113
WFeb 11 · 12:35A. Kurtenko—71211113R. Budnyk—1110281
LOct 20 · 10:18A. Kurtenko—127741R. Budnyk—101111113
WOct 20 · 05:35A. Kurtenko—11111113R. Budnyk—711751
WOct 2 · 06:35A. Kurtenko—91111113R. Budnyk—118941
A. Kurtenko10
WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190LAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162WAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133
R. Budnyk10
LAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113WAug 12 · 06:30U. Dronova1.80911951R. Budnyk1.9111511113WAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113LJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172LJul 23 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.25116411113R. Budnyk3.7581111982WJul 23 · 07:00R. Budnyk1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.206560WJul 23 · 06:00A. Ovriakh1.4097100R. Budnyk2.751111123LJul 23 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.40631111A. Rzhevska2.7511117113LJul 6 · 09:58N. Plokhotniuk1.281111113R. Budnyk3.509670
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