TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13100096
Played Sep 9Finished
Roksolana Budnyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811911––––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeRoksolana Budnyk to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoksolana Budnyk above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 63 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Roksolana Budnyk at 65.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Roksolana Budnyk 5–5 Anna Rzhevska Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Budnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnyk 1695 vs Rzhevska 1571
Budnyk
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnyk 80% vs Rzhevska 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnyk 60% vs Rzhevska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnyk -1 · Rzhevska +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Budnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnyk 1.44 / Rzhevska 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Budnyk)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13100096
Budnyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Rzhevska2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudnyk5wins
AwayRzhevska5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudnyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayRzhevska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnyk6Rzhevska4n = 10Budnyk took 6 of 10
S2Budnyk4Rzhevska6n = 10Rzhevska took 6 of 10
S3Budnyk5Rzhevska5n = 10split evenly
S4Budnyk7Rzhevska1n = 8Budnyk took 7 of 8
S5Budnyk0Rzhevska3n = 3Rzhevska took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudnykRzhevskaB − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.7+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnykRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 106 vs 143 / 25851.9%55.4%55 / 106 vs 143 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnykBudnyk 1.44/Rzhevska 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Budnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk—11890A. Rzhevska—1311113
LJul 23 · 09:41R. Budnyk—11591172A. Rzhevska—811115113
LJul 23 · 05:00R. Budnyk—631111A. Rzhevska—11117113
WJul 6 · 07:30R. Budnyk—11118143A. Rzhevska—7711121
WOct 20 · 09:05R. Budnyk—41111113A. Rzhevska—113841
WOct 2 · 10:35R. Budnyk—11212103A. Rzhevska—6111071
LAug 13 · 10:11R. Budnyk—917111132A. Rzhevska—111997113
WAug 13 · 05:35R. Budnyk—1111113A. Rzhevska—2560
WApr 17 · 12:05R. Budnyk—11125143A. Rzhevska—61011121
LApr 9 · 08:35R. Budnyk—11591142A. Rzhevska—411113113
R. Budnyk10
LAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113WAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113WAug 12 · 06:30U. Dronova1.80911951R. Budnyk1.9111511113WAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113LJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172LJul 23 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.25116411113R. Budnyk3.7581111982WJul 23 · 07:00R. Budnyk1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.206560WJul 23 · 06:00A. Ovriakh1.4097100R. Budnyk2.751111123LJul 23 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.40631111A. Rzhevska2.7511117113
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WJul 23 · 09:41A. Rzhevska3.75811115113R. Budnyk1.2511591172WJul 23 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.40631111A. Rzhevska2.7511117113
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