TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098794
Played Sep 9Finished
Cesta Havrda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118119––––
Pavel Petr
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePavel Petr to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingCesta Havrda above · Pavel Petr below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 63 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Pavel Petr at 57.7%
63 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Petr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1016 vs Petr 1166
Petr
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 40% vs Petr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 50% vs Petr 70%
Petr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda +1 · Petr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Petr) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petr form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 2.00 / Petr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Petr)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098794
Havrda2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 12 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Petr1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 27 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaPetrBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 250 vs 80 / 13541.6%59.3%104 / 250 vs 80 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrHavrda 2.00/Petr 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Petr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Havrda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
C. Havrda10
WSep 9 · 11:30J. Stary1.67118391C. Havrda2.1091111113LSep 9 · 10:00C. Havrda2.2511811632P. Serak1.57811311113LSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113WSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 25 · 13:30M. Smesny2.00115612102C. Havrda1.739111110123WAug 25 · 12:00L. Novotny1.507470C. Havrda2.501111113WAug 25 · 11:00J. Strnad2.50912121442C. Havrda1.5011101016113LAug 25 · 10:30C. Havrda1.801091111112M. Smesny1.91121195133
P. Petr10
LSep 9 · 11:00P. Serak3.0021111113P. Petr1.36114991WSep 9 · 10:30P. Petr1.3351111113J. Stary3.25114381WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.10111111113P. Petr1.67491371LAug 21 · 07:00J. Strnad1.911114113P. Petr1.8061250WAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942WAug 18 · 09:30P. Petr1.9111129113J. Strnad1.807101161WAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr1.61111129113V. Kubat2.2079111172WAug 18 · 06:00J. Strnad1.57126111172P. Petr2.25141194113
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