TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098843
Played Sep 9Finished
Jiri Stary
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811311911––
Cesta Havrda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeCesta Havrda to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Stary above · Cesta Havrda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Cesta Havrda at 63.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stary 2–0 Cesta Havrda Cesta Havrda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stary
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stary 993 vs Havrda 1005
Havrda
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stary 0% vs Havrda 20%
Havrda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stary 30% vs Havrda 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stary -5 · Havrda -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stary) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStary 1.67 / Havrda 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Stary)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098843
Stary1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite31% won 4 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it33% 2 of 6
Havrda2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 12 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStary2wins
AwayHavrda0wins
Stary leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStaryHavrdaS − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.027.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaryHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 129 vs 103 / 24938.8%41.4%50 / 129 vs 103 / 249Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaryStary 1.67/Havrda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Stary · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 24 · 09:00J. Stary—71111113C. Havrda—118761
WSep 24 · 08:30J. Stary—1211113C. Havrda—10480
J. Stary10
LSep 9 · 12:30P. Serak1.5711114153J. Stary2.258511131LSep 9 · 10:30P. Petr1.3351111113J. Stary3.25114381LAug 11 · 13:00P. Serak2.00131113153J. Stary1.7315711131LAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak1.571110511113J. Stary2.2571211872LAug 11 · 11:30J. Stary2.631111431J. Strnad1.4413911113LAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760LJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak1.911211113J. Stary1.8010960WJun 30 · 12:00P. Serak1.6712891192J. Stary2.101011112113LJun 30 · 11:00J. Koch1.7311147113J. Stary2.007121191WJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121
C. Havrda10
WSep 9 · 12:00C. Havrda2.001311113P. Petr1.7311890LSep 9 · 10:00C. Havrda2.2511811632P. Serak1.57811311113LSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113WSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 25 · 13:30M. Smesny2.00115612102C. Havrda1.739111110123WAug 25 · 12:00L. Novotny1.507470C. Havrda2.501111113WAug 25 · 11:00J. Strnad2.50912121442C. Havrda1.5011101016113LAug 25 · 10:30C. Havrda1.801091111112M. Smesny1.91121195133
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