Petr Serak vs Jiri Stary 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12403792

Played Aug 11Finished

Petr Serak

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

131511713111513––

Jiri Stary

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingPetr Serak above · Jiri Stary below

Set 1 · 13-15

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 15-13

Point 98 set 4, 15-13

98 points played in total.

H2H Petr Serak 5–5 Jiri Stary Dead even across their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Stary)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stary form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSerak 2.00 / Stary 1.73

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Stary)+1.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12403792

Serak2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog20% won 5 of 25

Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 13

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11

Stary1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As favourite44% won 7 of 16

Up 2–0, closes it67% 4 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSerak5wins

AwayStary5wins

6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSerak57.1%4 of 7

AwayStary66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Serak7Stary3n = 10Serak took 7 of 10

S2Serak6Stary4n = 10Serak took 6 of 10

S3Serak6Stary4n = 10Serak took 6 of 10

S4Serak5Stary4n = 9Serak took 5 of 9

S5Serak1Stary5n = 6Stary took 5 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away550%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSerakStarySerak − StaryBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.639.2+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSerakStaryBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 189 vs 56 / 13942.3%40.3%80 / 189 vs 56 / 139Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Stary

Serak 2.00/Stary 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.7%

Stary · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Serak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak—1110511113J. Stary—71211872

WJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak—1211113J. Stary—10960

LJun 30 · 12:00P. Serak—12891192J. Stary—1011112113

LJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak—61111292J. Stary—115511113

LMay 27 · 12:30P. Serak—1111111182J. Stary—134413113

WMay 21 · 09:00P. Serak—81211113J. Stary—1110371

WMay 21 · 07:00P. Serak—12118113J. Stary—1081181

LMay 11 · 08:00P. Serak—11119452J. Stary—581111113

LApr 28 · 11:30P. Serak—11911792J. Stary—411611113

WApr 10 · 07:30P. Serak—111011113J. Stary—612681

P. Serak10

WAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112 LAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172 LAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972 WAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860 LAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490 LAug 21 · 08:30J. Strnad1.361111113P. Serak3.004340 LAug 21 · 07:30P. Serak2.207860A. Tkachenko1.611111113 LAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942 WAug 12 · 09:30C. Havrda2.2031060P. Serak1.601112113 LAug 12 · 08:30J. Strnad1.57101111113P. Serak2.25124751

J. Stary10

LAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak1.571110511113J. Stary2.2571211872 LAug 11 · 11:30J. Stary2.631111431J. Strnad1.4413911113 LAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760 LJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak1.911211113J. Stary1.8010960 WJun 30 · 12:00P. Serak1.6712891192J. Stary2.101011112113 LJun 30 · 11:00J. Koch1.7311147113J. Stary2.007121191 WJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121 WJun 24 · 13:00J. Koch1.44118991J. Stary2.6351111113 WJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak1.6761111292J. Stary2.10115511113 LJun 24 · 11:30J. Stary2.20711891P. Petr1.6111411113

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