TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12089420
Played Jun 24Finished
Jiri Stary
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114811911––
Pavel Petr
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Stary above · Pavel Petr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stary 9–7 Pavel Petr Pavel Petr has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Petr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petr form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStary 2.20 / Petr 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Petr)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12089420
Stary2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Petr1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 16 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStary4wins
AwayPetr6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPetr leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStary33.3%1 of 3
AwayPetr57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stary3Petr7n = 10Petr took 7 of 10
S2Stary5Petr5n = 10split evenly
S3Stary5Petr5n = 10split evenly
S4Stary3Petr4n = 7Petr took 4 of 7
S5Stary2Petr3n = 5Petr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaryPetrS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.143.5−3.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaryPetrBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 144 vs 88 / 17342.4%50.9%61 / 144 vs 88 / 173Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrStary 2.20/Petr 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Petr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 9 · 10:00J. Stary—5880P. Petr—1111113
LMay 27 · 11:30J. Stary—101112772P. Petr—1291011113
WApr 28 · 13:30J. Stary—81111123P. Petr—1197101
WApr 28 · 10:30J. Stary—516118113P. Petr—111491182
LApr 10 · 08:30J. Stary—13119962P. Petr—1141111113
LMar 11 · 09:30J. Stary—111071122P. Petr—712117113
LFeb 16 · 07:00J. Stary—15830P. Petr—1711113
WDec 4 · 12:30J. Stary—118119113P. Petr—61181192
WNov 18 · 09:30J. Stary—101117113P. Petr—1281551
LNov 12 · 10:30J. Stary—71540P. Petr—1117113
J. Stary10
LAug 11 · 13:00P. Serak2.00131113153J. Stary1.7315711131LAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak1.571110511113J. Stary2.2571211872LAug 11 · 11:30J. Stary2.631111431J. Strnad1.4413911113LAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760LJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak1.911211113J. Stary1.8010960WJun 30 · 12:00P. Serak1.6712891192J. Stary2.101011112113LJun 30 · 11:00J. Koch1.7311147113J. Stary2.007121191WJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121WJun 24 · 13:00J. Koch1.44118991J. Stary2.6351111113WJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak1.6761111292J. Stary2.10115511113
P. Petr10
WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.10111111113P. Petr1.67491371LAug 21 · 07:00J. Strnad1.911114113P. Petr1.8061250WAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942WAug 18 · 09:30P. Petr1.9111129113J. Strnad1.807101161WAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr1.61111129113V. Kubat2.2079111172WAug 18 · 06:00J. Strnad1.57126111172P. Petr2.25141194113WAug 11 · 13:28J. Strnad1.50119111572P. Petr2.50711517113WAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760
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