TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12397603
Played Aug 11Finished
Jiri Stary
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113119411311––
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:14 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1961 to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Stary above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 73 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1961 at 64.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stary 0–3 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Jiri Stary has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Strnad
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stary 1040 vs Strnad 1044
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stary 40% vs Strnad 60%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stary 50% vs Strnad 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stary -2 · Strnad +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStary 2.63 / Strnad 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Strnad)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12397603
Stary2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 18 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Strnad1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 18 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStary0wins
AwayStrnad3wins
Strnad leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stary1Strnad2n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S2Stary1Strnad2n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S3Stary1Strnad2n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S4Stary0Strnad3n = 3Strnad took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away3100%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaryStrnadStary − StrnadBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match29.742.7−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaryStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 138 vs 157 / 38440.6%40.9%56 / 138 vs 157 / 384Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStary 2.63/Strnad 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 11 · 11:30J. Stary—1111431J. Strnad—13911113
LMay 21 · 06:00J. Stary—591221J. Strnad—111110113
LSep 24 · 07:30J. Stary—117681J. Strnad—81111113
J. Stary10
LAug 11 · 13:00P. Serak2.00131113153J. Stary1.7315711131LAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak1.571110511113J. Stary2.2571211872LAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760LJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak1.911211113J. Stary1.8010960WJun 30 · 12:00P. Serak1.6712891192J. Stary2.101011112113LJun 30 · 11:00J. Koch1.7311147113J. Stary2.007121191WJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121WJun 24 · 13:00J. Koch1.44118991J. Stary2.6351111113WJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak1.6761111292J. Stary2.10115511113LJun 24 · 11:30J. Stary2.20711891P. Petr1.6111411113
J. Strnad10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380
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