TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12094671
Played Jun 24Finished
Jiri Koch
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811911911––
Jiri Stary
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJiri Koch above · Jiri Stary below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Koch 2–0 Jiri Stary Jiri Stary has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Koch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stary form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoch 1.44 / Stary 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Koch)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12094671
Koch1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Stary2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKoch2wins
AwayStary0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKoch leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKochStaryK − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.537.0+6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKochStaryBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 124 vs 61 / 14445.2%42.4%56 / 124 vs 61 / 144Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KochKoch 1.44/Stary 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Koch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stary won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 18 · 11:30J. Koch—116711113J. Stary—81111662
WJun 9 · 12:30J. Koch—11811113J. Stary—411981
J. Koch10
LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113LAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102LAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880LAug 18 · 07:30J. Koch3.005380J. Strnad1.361111113LAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591LJul 8 · 09:00J. Koch2.757910V. Kubat1.401111113LJul 8 · 08:30V. Kubat1.4011411113J. Koch2.75811651
J. Stary10
LAug 11 · 13:00P. Serak2.00131113153J. Stary1.7315711131LAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak1.571110511113J. Stary2.2571211872LAug 11 · 11:30J. Stary2.631111431J. Strnad1.4413911113LAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760LJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak1.911211113J. Stary1.8010960WJun 30 · 12:00P. Serak1.6712891192J. Stary2.101011112113LJun 30 · 11:00J. Koch1.7311147113J. Stary2.007121191WJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121WJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak1.6761111292J. Stary2.10115511113LJun 24 · 11:30J. Stary2.20711891P. Petr1.6111411113
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