TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12121130
Played Jun 30Finished
Jiri Koch
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171412711119––
Jiri Stary
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJiri Koch above · Jiri Stary below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 82 set 4, 11-9
82 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Koch 4–1 Jiri Stary Jiri Stary has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Koch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koch form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoch 1.73 / Stary 2.00
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Koch)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12121130
Koch1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Stary2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 18 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKoch4wins
AwayStary1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKoch leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoch80%4 of 5
AwayStaryn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koch5Stary0n = 5Koch took 5 of 5
S2Koch2Stary3n = 5Stary took 3 of 5
S3Koch2Stary3n = 5Stary took 3 of 5
S4Koch3Stary1n = 4Koch took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKochStaryK − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match40.034.6+5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKochStaryBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 136 vs 65 / 15245.6%42.8%62 / 136 vs 65 / 152Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KochKoch 1.73/Stary 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Koch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJun 30 · 11:00J. Koch—11147113J. Stary—7121191
LJun 24 · 13:00J. Koch—118991J. Stary—51111113
WJun 24 · 10:30J. Koch—1111113J. Stary—9940
WJun 18 · 11:30J. Koch—116711113J. Stary—81111662
WJun 9 · 12:30J. Koch—11811113J. Stary—411981
J. Koch10
LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113LAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102LAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880LAug 18 · 07:30J. Koch3.005380J. Strnad1.361111113LAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591LJul 8 · 09:00J. Koch2.757910V. Kubat1.401111113LJul 8 · 08:30V. Kubat1.4011411113J. Koch2.75811651
J. Stary10
LAug 11 · 13:00P. Serak2.00131113153J. Stary1.7315711131LAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak1.571110511113J. Stary2.2571211872LAug 11 · 11:30J. Stary2.631111431J. Strnad1.4413911113LAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760LJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak1.911211113J. Stary1.8010960WJun 30 · 12:00P. Serak1.6712891192J. Stary2.101011112113WJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121WJun 24 · 13:00J. Koch1.44118991J. Stary2.6351111113WJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak1.6761111292J. Stary2.10115511113LJun 24 · 11:30J. Stary2.20711891P. Petr1.6111411113
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