Petr Serak vs Jiri Stary 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12121110

Played Jun 30Finished

Petr Serak

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1210811911112911

Jiri Stary

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingPetr Serak above · Jiri Stary below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-2

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 94 set 5, 9-11

94 points played in total.

H2H Petr Serak 3–4 Jiri Stary Petr Serak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 3–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Serak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stary form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSerak 1.67 / Stary 2.10

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Serak)-1.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12121110

Serak1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite47% won 14 of 30

Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15

Stary2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog38% won 17 of 45

Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25

Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeSerak3wins

AwayStary4wins

4 of 7 to a deciderStary leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSerak50%2 of 4

AwayStary66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Serak4Stary3n = 7Serak took 4 of 7

S2Serak5Stary2n = 7Serak took 5 of 7

S3Serak5Stary2n = 7Serak took 5 of 7

S4Serak3Stary4n = 7Stary took 4 of 7

S5Serak0Stary4n = 4Stary took 4 of 4

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home343%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away457%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 7 meetings

MetricSerakStarySerak − StaryBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match43.639.6+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSerakStaryBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 355 vs 64 / 15043.7%42.7%155 / 355 vs 64 / 150Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Serak

Serak 1.67/Stary 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.8%

Serak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Stary won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record7

LJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak—61111292J. Stary—115511113

LMay 27 · 12:30P. Serak—1111111182J. Stary—134413113

WMay 21 · 09:00P. Serak—81211113J. Stary—1110371

WMay 21 · 07:00P. Serak—12118113J. Stary—1081181

LMay 11 · 08:00P. Serak—11119452J. Stary—581111113

LApr 28 · 11:30P. Serak—11911792J. Stary—411611113

WApr 10 · 07:30P. Serak—111011113J. Stary—612681

P. Serak10

WAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112 LAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172 LAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972 WAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860 LAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490 LAug 21 · 08:30J. Strnad1.361111113P. Serak3.004340 LAug 21 · 07:30P. Serak2.207860A. Tkachenko1.611111113 LAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942 WAug 12 · 09:30C. Havrda2.2031060P. Serak1.601112113 LAug 12 · 08:30J. Strnad1.57101111113P. Serak2.25124751

J. Stary10

LAug 11 · 13:00P. Serak2.00131113153J. Stary1.7315711131 LAug 11 · 12:30P. Serak1.571110511113J. Stary2.2571211872 LAug 11 · 11:30J. Stary2.631111431J. Strnad1.4413911113 LAug 11 · 10:30P. Petr1.501111113J. Stary2.505760 LJun 30 · 13:29P. Serak1.911211113J. Stary1.8010960 LJun 30 · 11:00J. Koch1.7311147113J. Stary2.007121191 WJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121 WJun 24 · 13:00J. Koch1.44118991J. Stary2.6351111113 WJun 24 · 12:30P. Serak1.6761111292J. Stary2.10115511113 LJun 24 · 11:30J. Stary2.20711891P. Petr1.6111411113

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