TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095813
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911811––
Oleksandr Naida
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:39What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Naida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1581 vs Naida 1485
Pitsyk
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 60% vs Naida 80%
Naida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 60% vs Naida 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk -1 · Naida +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.83 / Naida 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pitsyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13095813
Pitsyk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Naida1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 590 vs 483 / 93753.9%51.6%318 / 590 vs 483 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.83/Naida 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Naida won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Pitsyk10
LSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.441111113S. Pitsyk2.636740WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113
O. Naida10
WSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113LSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113WSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830LSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111
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