TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095257
Played Sep 8Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117114––––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 68.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 6–2 Serhii Pitsyk Serhii Pitsyk has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1674 vs Pitsyk 1581
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 60% vs Pitsyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 70% vs Pitsyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +1 · Pitsyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.44 / Pitsyk 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Hrynenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13095257
Hrynenko1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 57 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Pitsyk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHrynenko6wins
AwayPitsyk2wins
4 of 8 to a deciderHrynenko leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko100%4 of 4
AwayPitsyk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko4Pitsyk4n = 8split evenly
S2Hrynenko7Pitsyk1n = 8Hrynenko took 7 of 8
S3Hrynenko5Pitsyk3n = 8Hrynenko took 5 of 8
S4Hrynenko4Pitsyk0n = 4Hrynenko took 4 of 4
S5Hrynenko2Pitsyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricHrynenkoPitsykH − PBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match39.032.5+6.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 899 vs 318 / 59046.8%53.9%421 / 899 vs 318 / 590Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.44/Pitsyk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko—1111113S. Pitsyk—6740
WAug 26 · 21:55K. Hrynenko—511511113S. Pitsyk—11611862
LAug 25 · 13:55K. Hrynenko—61191162S. Pitsyk—119118113
WAug 20 · 04:05K. Hrynenko—1011311113S. Pitsyk—12911592
WAug 17 · 13:25K. Hrynenko—1311113S. Pitsyk—11560
LAug 4 · 18:25K. Hrynenko—79111182S. Pitsyk—111186113
WJul 21 · 19:55K. Hrynenko—1111113S. Pitsyk—6880
WJul 7 · 21:35K. Hrynenko—1111113S. Pitsyk—2480
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 8 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.001112310133S. Abalmaz1.737101112112LSep 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.731111113K. Hrynenko2.006980LSep 8 · 24:55K. Hrynenko2.0011113892S. Skachenko1.73981111113WSep 7 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.44831191K. Hrynenko2.6311119113WSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990
S. Pitsyk10
LSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113
Upcoming Matches
K. Hrynenko
Sep 9 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.28D. Us3.50—Sep 9 · 01:35K. Hrynenko1.91D. Rehotun1.80—Sep 9 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.83O. Naida1.83—Sep 9 · 13:55K. Hrynenko1.61O. Melashenko2.20—Sep 9 · 14:55K. Hrynenko1.50S. Khandetskyi2.50—Sep 9 · 16:55K. Hrynenko1.91D. Rehotun1.80—Sep 9 · 18:55K. Hrynenko2.10S. Skachenko1.67—Sep 9 · 20:25K. Hrynenko1.17V. Kobets4.50—
S. Pitsyk
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