TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089092
Played Sep 8Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119118311811911
Serhii Skachenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 2–5 Serhii Skachenko Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skachenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Skachenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1672 vs Skachenko 1538
Hrynenko
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 80% vs Skachenko 40%
Hrynenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 80% vs Skachenko 40%
Hrynenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +3 · Skachenko +1
Hrynenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skachenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 2.00 / Skachenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skachenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13089092
Hrynenko2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 151 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Skachenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 35 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 25 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHrynenko2wins
AwaySkachenko5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSkachenko leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko40%2 of 5
AwaySkachenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko5Skachenko2n = 7Hrynenko took 5 of 7
S2Hrynenko3Skachenko4n = 7Skachenko took 4 of 7
S3Hrynenko1Skachenko6n = 7Skachenko took 6 of 7
S4Hrynenko2Skachenko3n = 5Skachenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricHrynenkoSkachenkoH − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.042.7−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 901 vs 116 / 29247%39.7%423 / 901 vs 116 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoHrynenko 2.00/Skachenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 8 · 24:55K. Hrynenko—11113892S. Skachenko—981111113
WAug 20 · 02:05K. Hrynenko—11115153S. Skachenko—8811131
LAug 5 · 13:25K. Hrynenko—108160S. Skachenko—1211183
LJul 17 · 24:55K. Hrynenko—2980S. Skachenko—1111113
WJul 15 · 17:25K. Hrynenko—12711133S. Skachenko—10119111
LJul 15 · 24:55K. Hrynenko—117861S. Skachenko—91111113
LJun 17 · 16:25K. Hrynenko—111171262S. Skachenko—971114113
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 7 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.44831191K. Hrynenko2.6311119113WSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761
S. Skachenko10
WSep 7 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.6712791272S. Skachenko2.1010111110113LSep 7 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.801111113S. Skachenko1.916860LSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193LSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470LSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192WSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113LAug 28 · 18:35S. Skachenko1.839111121V. Khamurda1.8311138113WAug 28 · 17:05S. Skachenko1.831211143S. Abalmaz1.83106120LAug 28 · 15:35S. Skachenko1.6711591672O. Naida2.104111114113
Upcoming Matches
K. Hrynenko
S. Skachenko
Sep 8 · 02:55S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 8 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.91R. Gnoevoy1.80—Sep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.91R. Gnoevoy1.80—Sep 8 · 15:55S. Skachenko1.83V. Khamurda1.83—Sep 8 · 17:25S. Skachenko2.10D. Derevynskyi1.67—Sep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 8 · 19:25S. Skachenko1.57T. Ponomarenko2.25—
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