TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088746
Played Sep 7Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12107119111210711
Serhii Skachenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 100 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 9–7 Serhii Skachenko Serhii Skachenko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:18What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Khamurda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1605 vs Skachenko 1510
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 80% vs Skachenko 20%
Khamurda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 60% vs Skachenko 40%
Khamurda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda +4 · Skachenko -2
Khamurda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Khamurda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skachenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.67 / Skachenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Khamurda)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088746
Khamurda1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 111 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 65 of 85
Skachenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 72 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda6wins
AwaySkachenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurda100%3 of 3
AwaySkachenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda3Skachenko7n = 10Skachenko took 7 of 10
S2Khamurda6Skachenko4n = 10Khamurda took 6 of 10
S3Khamurda4Skachenko6n = 10Skachenko took 6 of 10
S4Khamurda6Skachenko3n = 9Khamurda took 6 of 9
S5Khamurda3Skachenko1n = 4Khamurda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaSkachenkoK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.639.6+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 881 vs 114 / 29052.7%39.3%464 / 881 vs 114 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.67/Skachenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda—5101171S. Skachenko—11126113
WAug 28 · 18:35V. Khamurda—11138113S. Skachenko—9111121
WAug 28 · 02:25V. Khamurda—118117133S. Skachenko—711811112
WAug 19 · 01:35V. Khamurda—91113113S. Skachenko—1191141
LAug 17 · 21:55V. Khamurda—911461S. Skachenko—11611113
WAug 11 · 19:25V. Khamurda—11115113S. Skachenko—711181
WAug 11 · 02:25V. Khamurda—6111011133S. Skachenko—115128112
LAug 5 · 24:35V. Khamurda—86111162S. Skachenko—111179113
WAug 4 · 02:25V. Khamurda—711911113S. Skachenko—11311982
LAug 1 · 01:05V. Khamurda—105110S. Skachenko—1211133
V. Khamurda10
WSep 7 · 21:25V. Khamurda2.6391114113S. Abalmaz1.441171231WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113LSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113LSep 1 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.73711691T. Ponomarenko2.0011911113
S. Skachenko10
LSep 7 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.801111113S. Skachenko1.916860LSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193LSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470LSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192WSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113LAug 28 · 18:35S. Skachenko1.839111121V. Khamurda1.8311138113WAug 28 · 17:05S. Skachenko1.831211143S. Abalmaz1.83106120LAug 28 · 15:35S. Skachenko1.6711591672O. Naida2.104111114113WAug 28 · 14:05S. Skachenko1.91117811113R. Gnoevoy1.8051111982
Upcoming Matches
V. Khamurda
Sep 8 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.73R. Gnoevoy2.00—Sep 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.73K. Hrynenko2.00—Sep 8 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.83D. Derevynskyi1.83—Sep 8 · 14:25V. Khamurda2.63S. Abalmaz1.44—Sep 8 · 15:55V. Khamurda1.83S. Skachenko1.83—Sep 8 · 16:55V. Khamurda1.73R. Gnoevoy2.00—Sep 8 · 17:55V. Khamurda1.73T. Ponomarenko2.00—Sep 8 · 19:55V. Khamurda1.83D. Derevynskyi1.83—
S. Skachenko
Sep 8 · 24:55S. Skachenko1.73K. Hrynenko2.00—Sep 8 · 02:55S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 8 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.91R. Gnoevoy1.80—Sep 8 · 13:55S. Skachenko1.91R. Gnoevoy1.80—Sep 8 · 15:55S. Skachenko1.83V. Khamurda1.83—Sep 8 · 17:25S. Skachenko2.10D. Derevynskyi1.67—Sep 8 · 18:25S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 8 · 19:25S. Skachenko1.57T. Ponomarenko2.25—
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