TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089162
Played Sep 7Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210119––––
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Gnoevoy to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Roman Gnoevoy at 54.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 44–92 Roman Gnoevoy Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 44 of their 136 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gnoevoy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-92 in 136
Gnoevoy
Wrong
gap of 48 in 136, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1669 vs Gnoevoy 1546
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 80% vs Gnoevoy 40%
Hrynenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 60% vs Gnoevoy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +1 · Gnoevoy -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Gnoevoy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gnoevoy form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 2.20 / Gnoevoy 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gnoevoy)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089162
Hrynenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 151 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Gnoevoy1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 85 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko2wins
AwayGnoevoy8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGnoevoy leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko20%1 of 5
AwayGnoevoy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko5Gnoevoy5n = 10split evenly
S2Hrynenko2Gnoevoy8n = 10Gnoevoy took 8 of 10
S3Hrynenko3Gnoevoy7n = 10Gnoevoy took 7 of 10
S4Hrynenko2Gnoevoy6n = 8Gnoevoy took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoGnoevoyH − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.740.3−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 903 vs 410 / 81546.7%50.3%422 / 903 vs 410 / 815Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GnoevoyHrynenko 2.20/Gnoevoy 1.61
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Gnoevoy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 8 · 13:25K. Hrynenko—4121131R. Gnoevoy—11146113
LJul 6 · 23:55K. Hrynenko—9790R. Gnoevoy—1111113
WJul 1 · 15:55K. Hrynenko—81112113R. Gnoevoy—1191071
LJun 30 · 21:35K. Hrynenko—118971R. Gnoevoy—71111113
LJun 30 · 02:55K. Hrynenko—12951172R. Gnoevoy—1011118113
LJun 17 · 13:25K. Hrynenko—631171R. Gnoevoy—11112113
LJun 16 · 22:25K. Hrynenko—101180R. Gnoevoy—1213113
WJun 13 · 19:55K. Hrynenko—111276113R. Gnoevoy—610111172
LJun 10 · 03:25K. Hrynenko—117731R. Gnoevoy—71111113
LJun 9 · 04:25K. Hrynenko—1179131R. Gnoevoy—71111153
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 7 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.44831191K. Hrynenko2.6311119113WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 7 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy1.9111591172S. Abalmaz1.80911115113LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113WSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680WSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113WSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113WSep 2 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.6111118113T. Ponomarenko2.20741161LSep 1 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.4061217113R. Gnoevoy2.7511101591
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